Velbert vs Schwarz-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
34.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+137%
+63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
SOI
2 - 1
VEL
46%
23%
31%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2008 |
VEL
1 - 0
GUT
40%
26%
34%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
BSC
6 - 2
VEL
51%
24%
24%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 Aug. 2008 |
VEL
1 - 2
AAA
43%
25%
33%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
VEL
2 - 2
DSC
46%
26%
28%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
SWE
4 - 0
SCH
38%
27%
35%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2008 |
WAT
0 - 0
SWE
74%
15%
11%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
SWE
2 - 1
HAM
51%
25%
24%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
SPO
2 - 0
SWE
75%
16%
9%
|
31 | 52 | 21 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2008 |
SWE
1 - 1
ABI
28%
25%
47%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +1 |