Velbert vs Schermbeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
24.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+138%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2009 |
WAT
0 - 4
VEL
66%
19%
16%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
VEL
3 - 0
HAM
52%
23%
26%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
SPO
0 - 3
VEL
64%
21%
15%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +2 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
VEL
1 - 3
ABI
24%
23%
53%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -2 |
| 09 May. 2009 |
MSV
1 - 3
VEL
74%
16%
11%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Schermbeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2009 |
SCH
0 - 1
WAT
49%
24%
26%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
HAM
0 - 1
SCH
45%
25%
30%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
SCH
3 - 2
SPO
30%
26%
44%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
ABI
0 - 0
SCH
65%
20%
15%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2009 |
SCH
4 - 3
KÖL
13%
21%
66%
|
33 | 56 | 23 | +2 |