Velbert vs Rot-Weiss Essen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
23.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
VEL
1 - 1
SOI
72%
17%
12%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
DSC
1 - 4
VEL
54%
23%
23%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
SCH
1 - 1
VEL
55%
24%
22%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
VEL
5 - 2
WAT
30%
25%
45%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +3 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
HAM
1 - 4
VEL
62%
21%
17%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
ESS
1 - 0
SCH
38%
25%
38%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2009 |
ESS
1 - 2
ABI
24%
23%
54%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2009 |
WAT
1 - 3
ESS
72%
16%
12%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +2 |
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
ESS
1 - 1
HAM
42%
24%
34%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
MSV
3 - 1
ESS
77%
14%
9%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -1 |