Velbert vs Rot Weiss Ahlen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
62%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+79%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
ERN
0 - 2
VEL
25%
22%
53%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
SPE
5 - 2
VEL
40%
25%
35%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
VEL
4 - 0
WEG
72%
17%
11%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
SPO
3 - 1
VEL
41%
25%
35%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
VEL
0 - 2
GEW
35%
25%
40%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Rot Weiss Ahlen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
RWA
2 - 2
SPO
79%
14%
7%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
RWA
0 - 10
PAD
27%
25%
48%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
ROS
2 - 0
RWA
69%
20%
12%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
RWA
4 - 3
ERF
26%
26%
48%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
VFR
3 - 0
RWA
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -2 |