Velbert vs Paderborn 07 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.2%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
45.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
4º
18º
16º
38
3º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 75 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
42.5% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 63 |
3º
|
42.5% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
57.5% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 51 |
7º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 50 |
8º
|
30% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
9º
|
53% | |
|
9º
|
48 | 49 |
10º
|
43% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 45 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
41 | 42 |
12º
|
81.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
38 | 39 |
13º
|
53% | |
|
14º
|
38 | 39 |
14º
|
59.5% | |
|
15º
|
32 | 32 |
15º
|
27.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
32 | 32 |
16º
|
27.5% | |
|
17º
|
26 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2023 |
WEG
1 - 1
VEL
62%
21%
18%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
VEL
1 - 5
DIE
23%
22%
55%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | -2 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ROD
4 - 1
VEL
64%
20%
16%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
VEL
0 - 4
S04
28%
23%
48%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BOR
4 - 2
VEL
67%
18%
15%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Paderborn 07 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
PAD
2 - 2
WIE
59%
22%
19%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
AAA
2 - 1
PAD
56%
23%
21%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2023 |
PAD
3 - 1
DIE
30%
24%
47%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
WEG
3 - 2
PAD
39%
25%
36%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
ROD
2 - 0
PAD
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | -1 |