Velbert vs MSV Duisburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
25.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2013 |
VEL
3 - 1
HUL
42%
25%
33%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2013 |
VER
1 - 2
VEL
58%
22%
20%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
VIK
2 - 2
VEL
72%
16%
12%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2013 |
VEL
0 - 3
DIE
36%
24%
41%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
VEL
2 - 0
WIE
34%
27%
40%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +3 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
MSV
2 - 0
ROT
20%
23%
58%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
SPO
2 - 1
MSV
70%
19%
11%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
MSV
0 - 2
SPO
20%
25%
55%
|
38 | 61 | 23 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
WUP
0 - 0
MSV
75%
16%
9%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2013 |
BOR
2 - 1
MSV
70%
18%
13%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -1 |