Velbert vs MSV Duisburg II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
17.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2005 |
USO
1 - 0
VEL
32%
24%
44%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
FCB
0 - 2
VEL
45%
23%
32%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
VEL
2 - 3
BAY
27%
23%
50%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
VEL
3 - 0
BFR
72%
18%
11%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
WUP
0 - 2
VEL
18%
22%
60%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
MSV
4 - 3
DUS
67%
19%
15%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
YUK
1 - 5
MSV
20%
21%
60%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2005 |
DUR
4 - 2
MSV
40%
23%
38%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
MSV
0 - 3
SWE
45%
26%
30%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2005 |
MSV
0 - 3
KLE
49%
23%
28%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -2 |