Velbert vs Kray analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
17%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
VEL
0 - 0
ROD
40%
26%
34%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2016 |
ROT
3 - 2
VEL
61%
21%
19%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
ROT
3 - 0
VEL
66%
19%
14%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
VEL
0 - 0
S04
27%
25%
47%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
VEL
1 - 2
BOR
16%
22%
62%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Kray
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2016 |
KRA
0 - 3
ROT
17%
23%
60%
|
33 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
KRA
1 - 2
AAA
17%
23%
61%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
KRA
0 - 2
WEG
57%
22%
22%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -2 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
S04
2 - 0
KRA
63%
22%
16%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
WAT
1 - 1
KRA
73%
17%
11%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | 0 |