Velbert vs Kray analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.9%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
13.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
VEL
1 - 1
ROT
25%
24%
51%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
BAY
2 - 1
VEL
53%
23%
24%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
BER
0 - 2
VEL
35%
24%
42%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
VEL
0 - 1
FOR
57%
22%
21%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
KÖL
1 - 0
VEL
71%
18%
11%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Kray
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
KRA
0 - 0
ROT
14%
20%
66%
|
25 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2013 |
KRA
0 - 1
MSV
22%
23%
55%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2013 |
BOR
6 - 0
KRA
82%
12%
7%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
KRA
0 - 1
SPO
15%
23%
61%
|
27 | 61 | 34 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
WUP
2 - 1
KRA
81%
13%
6%
|
27 | 51 | 24 | 0 |