Velbert vs Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
47%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
LIP
2 - 1
VEL
42%
23%
35%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
VEL
0 - 1
VER
29%
25%
46%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
KÖL
3 - 1
VEL
78%
14%
8%
|
37 | 57 | 20 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
VEL
2 - 2
S04
19%
23%
58%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | +2 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
WAT
1 - 3
VEL
62%
20%
18%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
DIE
0 - 0
KFC
47%
24%
29%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
DIE
0 - 1
AAA
35%
25%
40%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
WIE
3 - 1
DIE
34%
24%
43%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -2 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 1
DIE
60%
21%
19%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2013 |
VIK
0 - 3
DIE
64%
19%
17%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | +2 |