Velbert vs Germania Windeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
27.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
AAA
2 - 5
VEL
62%
21%
17%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2009 |
VEL
3 - 3
HUL
58%
21%
21%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
BER
2 - 3
VEL
23%
23%
54%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
VEL
2 - 1
SCH
53%
23%
24%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2009 |
WAT
0 - 4
VEL
66%
19%
16%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Germania Windeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
GEW
3 - 0
WHE
58%
21%
21%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
GEW
4 - 0
MSV
42%
23%
36%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2009 |
SPO
2 - 3
GEW
44%
26%
31%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
GEW
2 - 2
FOR
29%
25%
47%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2009 |
KÖL
3 - 1
GEW
73%
18%
9%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |