Velbert vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
26.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+81%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2010 |
VEL
1 - 0
SCH
55%
22%
23%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
VEL
2 - 2
ROT
20%
24%
56%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
WHE
2 - 1
VEL
44%
25%
31%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
HAM
0 - 0
VEL
34%
25%
42%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2010 |
VEL
5 - 0
AAA
40%
25%
35%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
KÖL
2 - 0
VFB
68%
19%
13%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
KÖL
0 - 1
AAA
56%
22%
22%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
SCH
3 - 1
KÖL
38%
24%
38%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2010 |
KÖL
1 - 2
HAM
70%
18%
12%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
KÖL
0 - 1
MSV
63%
20%
17%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |