Velbert vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
62.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+128%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
GEW
2 - 0
VEL
52%
24%
25%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
VEL
1 - 2
WHE
25%
25%
51%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
ESS
1 - 2
VEL
49%
23%
29%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
VEL
1 - 2
SWE
40%
25%
35%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
SOI
2 - 1
VEL
46%
23%
31%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2008 |
KÖL
3 - 1
SCH
73%
18%
9%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2008 |
WAT
1 - 1
KÖL
29%
25%
46%
|
59 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
KÖL
0 - 0
HAM
80%
14%
6%
|
59 | 26 | 33 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2008 |
SPO
0 - 1
KÖL
35%
26%
39%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
KÖL
0 - 2
ABI
71%
18%
11%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |