Velbert vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.7%
37.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2016 |
VEL
1 - 4
BOR
20%
24%
56%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
VEL
2 - 1
WEG
72%
17%
11%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2016 |
WAT
1 - 0
VEL
47%
23%
30%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
VEL
2 - 1
ERN
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
DIE
0 - 0
VEL
33%
24%
43%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
WAT
3 - 3
FOR
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
FOR
0 - 0
ERN
69%
19%
12%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 0
ROD
51%
24%
26%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
DIE
0 - 3
FOR
37%
27%
37%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
FOR
3 - 1
WIE
42%
26%
32%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +2 |