Velbert vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
18%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+95%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
MSV
3 - 1
VEL
52%
23%
26%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2008 |
VEL
0 - 1
STR
71%
18%
12%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
VEL
2 - 1
KLE
46%
25%
29%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2008 |
KFC
1 - 1
VEL
38%
26%
37%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
DIE
4 - 0
VEL
51%
24%
25%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2008 |
KLE
1 - 1
FOR
60%
22%
18%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
FOR
0 - 0
GEW
45%
25%
31%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
FOR
1 - 4
MSV
39%
24%
37%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2008 |
FOR
2 - 2
DIE
26%
25%
50%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
STR
2 - 2
FOR
38%
25%
37%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |