Velbert vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+78%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
SWE
1 - 2
VEL
30%
24%
46%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
VEL
1 - 0
BOR
62%
22%
17%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2001 |
AAA
1 - 2
VEL
29%
24%
46%
|
45 | 34 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
VEL
2 - 0
WUP
35%
26%
39%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2001 |
DIE
4 - 2
VEL
44%
24%
32%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
FOR
1 - 1
BSC
46%
26%
28%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
SWE
2 - 0
FOR
55%
23%
22%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2001 |
FOR
0 - 1
RHE
59%
22%
19%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2001 |
BOR
4 - 0
FOR
57%
23%
20%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2001 |
FOR
0 - 3
VIK
49%
25%
26%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -2 |