Velbert vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.1%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
19%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+79%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2001 |
SWE
2 - 2
VEL
37%
25%
38%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2001 |
BFR
3 - 4
VEL
35%
26%
39%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
VEL
1 - 1
ADL
63%
21%
16%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2001 |
EUR
0 - 1
VEL
22%
25%
54%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
WUP
2 - 2
VEL
64%
19%
16%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2001 |
GRA
0 - 2
FOR
56%
22%
22%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2001 |
FOR
1 - 0
SWE
44%
26%
30%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2001 |
ADL
1 - 4
FOR
61%
20%
18%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2001 |
FOR
0 - 1
WUP
25%
26%
49%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2001 |
FCB
5 - 0
FOR
42%
25%
32%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -2 |