Velbert vs B. Leverkusen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
6%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.8%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
49.7%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
VEL
3 - 0
BFR
72%
18%
11%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
WUP
0 - 2
VEL
18%
22%
60%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2005 |
FCJ
3 - 2
VEL
20%
22%
58%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
VEL
2 - 3
AAA
62%
21%
17%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2005 |
VEL
3 - 0
DUR
72%
18%
10%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
B. Leverkusen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2005 |
YUK
0 - 4
BAY
11%
17%
72%
|
46 | 18 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
BAY
1 - 1
DUR
85%
10%
5%
|
46 | 22 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2005 |
KLE
0 - 1
BAY
21%
21%
57%
|
46 | 31 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2005 |
BAY
0 - 0
ADL
68%
19%
13%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
USO
0 - 2
BAY
20%
23%
57%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | +1 |