Velarde CF vs UM Escobedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.9%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
73.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+111%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velarde CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
SOL
2 - 1
VEL
55%
24%
21%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
VEL
2 - 4
REV
27%
24%
49%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
TRO
3 - 0
VEL
84%
12%
5%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
VEL
0 - 3
RAC
14%
21%
65%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 1
VEL
69%
18%
13%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
UM Escobedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
ESC
6 - 0
REV
77%
15%
9%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
RAC
2 - 0
ESC
41%
24%
35%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
ESC
3 - 0
CUL
78%
15%
8%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
SDT
2 - 2
ESC
19%
22%
59%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
ESC
1 - 1
CAY
63%
21%
17%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |