Velarde CF vs UM Escobedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
60%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+111%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velarde CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
DEV
3 - 0
VEL
53%
24%
23%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
VEL
2 - 2
MAR
54%
23%
24%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2008 |
CAS
3 - 1
VEL
48%
25%
26%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2008 |
VEL
0 - 5
SOL
71%
18%
11%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
RIB
2 - 0
VEL
39%
26%
35%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
UM Escobedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
MAR
0 - 0
ESC
13%
21%
66%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2008 |
ESC
4 - 1
SOL
82%
13%
6%
|
35 | 19 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2008 |
RAY
0 - 1
ESC
22%
24%
54%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2008 |
ESC
3 - 1
BEZ
59%
22%
19%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2008 |
CAY
0 - 8
ESC
13%
22%
66%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | +1 |