Velarde CF vs UM Escobedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+99%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velarde CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
CAS
3 - 1
VEL
34%
26%
39%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
VEL
2 - 1
SIE
67%
19%
14%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
VEL
1 - 2
ALB
66%
20%
14%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2005 |
BAR
1 - 4
VEL
48%
27%
25%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
VEL
2 - 0
TRO
49%
25%
26%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
UM Escobedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2005 |
ESC
2 - 2
GAM
83%
12%
5%
|
26 | 9 | 17 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2005 |
NOJ
2 - 1
ESC
56%
24%
19%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2005 |
OVI
2 - 0
ESC
82%
12%
6%
|
26 | 66 | 40 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
ESC
0 - 2
OVI
22%
27%
51%
|
26 | 66 | 40 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2005 |
RAC
1 - 0
ESC
78%
15%
7%
|
26 | 47 | 21 | 0 |