Velarde CF vs Reocin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.6%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velarde CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2004 |
CAS
1 - 0
VEL
23%
27%
51%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
VEL
3 - 0
LAR
55%
24%
21%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
VEL
2 - 3
MAR
73%
17%
9%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
TRO
0 - 0
VEL
52%
26%
22%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
VEL
2 - 0
ALB
68%
20%
12%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Reocin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2004 |
REO
3 - 0
NOJ
16%
22%
62%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
TEX
1 - 3
REO
51%
26%
24%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
REO
1 - 0
PON
51%
24%
25%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
DEV
2 - 0
REO
42%
28%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
REO
1 - 5
RIB
51%
24%
25%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |