Velarde CF vs Barquereño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.4%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
14.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velarde CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
RIN
3 - 1
VEL
20%
22%
58%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
VEL
1 - 1
PON
74%
16%
10%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
NOJ
2 - 2
VEL
32%
25%
43%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
VEL
4 - 1
SAN
78%
14%
8%
|
22 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
VEL
2 - 3
MER
53%
23%
24%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Barquereño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 2
RIN
49%
24%
28%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
PON
1 - 0
BAR
38%
25%
37%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
BAR
1 - 2
NOJ
42%
24%
34%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
BAR
3 - 0
SAN
55%
23%
23%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
MER
5 - 1
BAR
58%
23%
19%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |