Velarde Camargo B vs Castroverde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.2%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
57.1%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+41%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Velarde Camargo B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SJU
1 - 3
VEL
36%
21%
43%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
VEL
0 - 0
AFR
19%
20%
61%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 2
VEL
73%
15%
13%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
VEL
0 - 3
LIE
10%
15%
75%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
JDM
4 - 3
VEL
84%
10%
6%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Castroverde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
CAS
3 - 1
FOC
31%
21%
47%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ESP
2 - 7
CAS
29%
21%
51%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
CAS
0 - 2
MNT
69%
17%
14%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MDC
2 - 4
CAS
28%
21%
51%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
CAS
1 - 3
SAN
19%
19%
62%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |