Vejle BK vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
44.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
10º
12º
11º
36
2º
7º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
27 | 27 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 24 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 11 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vejle BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
VEJ
3 - 0
PFC
36%
27%
38%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
SIG
1 - 1
VEJ
59%
22%
20%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
BOT
1 - 0
VEJ
58%
22%
20%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
DIN
1 - 0
VEJ
66%
20%
15%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
VEJ
2 - 1
VEL
34%
25%
41%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2024 |
AGF
1 - 0
BRY
71%
18%
11%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
AGF
2 - 1
VFF
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
VKP
1 - 1
AGF
66%
19%
15%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
AGF
1 - 5
FCK
27%
24%
49%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2024 |
PUS
3 - 3
AGF
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |