Vejle BK vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
46.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vejle BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ROS
0 - 3
VEJ
29%
26%
45%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2011 |
VEN
1 - 1
VEJ
24%
26%
50%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
VEJ
2 - 0
AKA
62%
22%
17%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
VEJ
1 - 1
VES
54%
23%
23%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
RIN
1 - 5
VEJ
21%
21%
59%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2011 |
LYN
1 - 1
AGF
31%
26%
43%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
AGF
0 - 0
OBK
34%
25%
41%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
FCK
1 - 1
AGF
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
AGF
1 - 0
FCN
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2011 |
HVI
2 - 2
AGF
17%
22%
60%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |