Vega Real vs Moca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
28.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vega Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
ASF
1 - 2
AVR
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
AFC
0 - 1
AVR
42%
29%
30%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Jul. 2017 |
SCR
2 - 0
AVR
52%
24%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
AVR
1 - 1
MOC
42%
28%
30%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
DEP
1 - 0
AVR
46%
27%
27%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Moca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
AFC
1 - 1
MOC
37%
29%
34%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
MOC
0 - 1
CFC
41%
29%
31%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -2 |
| 30 Jul. 2017 |
RFC
1 - 2
MOC
21%
24%
55%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | +2 |
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
AVR
1 - 1
MOC
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
MOC
0 - 0
CFC
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |