Vega Real vs Cibao analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
33.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+38%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vega Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2022 |
AVR
1 - 1
WAT
29%
25%
46%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
CFC
1 - 0
AVR
52%
23%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2022 |
AVR
0 - 0
WAT
28%
25%
47%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2022 |
AVR
2 - 1
AFC
47%
24%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 1
AVR
43%
25%
32%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Cibao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2022 |
CFC
0 - 0
VIO
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
CFC
1 - 0
AVR
52%
23%
26%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2022 |
CFC
3 - 3
CAV
38%
26%
36%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
CFC
3 - 0
VIO
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
MOC
2 - 1
CFC
34%
29%
37%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |