Dominican Republic League Final
Global 2-4
Vega Real vs Cibao analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
26.2%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vega Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
CFC
1 - 1
AVR
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
AVR
2 - 1
JAR
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
JAR
0 - 1
AVR
40%
28%
32%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
AVR
1 - 0
CFC
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
JAR
1 - 1
AVR
42%
28%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cibao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2021 |
CFC
1 - 1
AVR
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CFC
4 - 1
DEP
39%
27%
34%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2021 |
DEP
1 - 0
CFC
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
AVR
1 - 0
CFC
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CFC
0 - 2
DEP
48%
26%
27%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |