Vaxjo Norra vs Karlshamn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.2%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
71.4%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.5%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.6%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+205%
-27%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
7º
14º
14º
13
6º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 56 |
1º
|
65.5% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 50 |
2º
|
27% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 47 |
3º
|
26.5% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 45 |
4º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
20 | 40 |
5º
|
23% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 39 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 35 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 31 |
8º
|
6% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 31 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 30 |
10º
|
15.5% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 28 |
11º
|
17.5% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 27 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
13 | 25 |
13º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
15 | 23 |
14º
|
33.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
26% | 35% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
21% | 17% |
|
Relegation
|
53% | 48% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vaxjo Norra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2025 |
KRI
3 - 0
VAX
84%
10%
5%
|
12 | 44 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2020 |
LJU
3 - 2
VAX
69%
17%
14%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2020 |
VAX
4 - 0
RAP
11%
16%
73%
|
12 | 39 | 27 | +2 |
Matches
Karlshamn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
IFK
2 - 1
IFK
42%
22%
36%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
IFK
0 - 4
RAP
37%
22%
41%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
FBK
2 - 3
IFK
35%
23%
42%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
IFK
3 - 1
SIM
49%
21%
29%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
IFK
3 - 1
IFL
72%
16%
12%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | +1 |