VAST Mykolaiv vs Kremin II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.5%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
10.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
9º
13º
10º
6
13º
14º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
62 | 65 |
1º
|
34.5% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 65 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
1º
|
62 | 65 |
3º
|
27.5% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 54 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
51.5% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 39 |
8º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
57% | |
|
|
15º
|
0 | 32 |
10º
|
33% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 31 |
11º
|
52% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 25 |
12º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 24 |
13º
|
44.5% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
14º
|
82.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
6 | 7 |
15º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
VAST Mykolaiv
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2023 |
RPH
1 - 2
VAM
47%
24%
29%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
CHA
5 - 1
VAM
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FKK
1 - 1
VAM
29%
21%
50%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
FCL
2 - 1
VAM
5%
10%
85%
|
41 | 9 | 32 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2023 |
FKT
4 - 1
VAM
61%
21%
19%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Kremin II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
SST
4 - 0
FKK
76%
15%
9%
|
26 | 56 | 30 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
FKK
1 - 1
RUT
45%
22%
33%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FKK
4 - 2
FKK
75%
15%
11%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
FKK
0 - 2
FCD
22%
24%
55%
|
28 | 47 | 19 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
FCZ
2 - 0
FKK
69%
19%
12%
|
28 | 66 | 38 | 0 |