Copa Libertadores qualifying 2nd Round Final
Global 6-0
Vasco da Gama vs Univ. Concepción analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
VAS
3 - 1
VOL
79%
15%
6%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2018 |
UCO
0 - 4
VAS
35%
27%
38%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2018 |
FLA
0 - 0
VAS
66%
20%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
CAB
2 - 1
VAS
10%
19%
71%
|
79 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
VAS
4 - 2
NOV
78%
16%
6%
|
79 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Concepción
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
UCO
0 - 2
OHI
47%
27%
27%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2018 |
UCO
0 - 4
VAS
35%
27%
38%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2017 |
UNI
1 - 2
UCO
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2017 |
UCO
1 - 0
UNI
30%
27%
43%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
DEP
1 - 1
UCO
41%
28%
31%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |