Vasco da Gama vs Sousa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.8%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.3%
3-0
13.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.4%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.4%
4.9%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
VAS
0 - 2
BOT
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
VAS
0 - 0
FLU
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
SOU
1 - 2
VAS
13%
20%
67%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
VAS
2 - 2
MAD
83%
12%
4%
|
83 | 52 | 31 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
RES
0 - 1
VAS
11%
17%
72%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
SOU
1 - 1
DPB
66%
19%
15%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2010 |
SOU
1 - 2
TRE
58%
22%
20%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
SOU
1 - 2
VAS
13%
20%
67%
|
54 | 83 | 29 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
ATL
0 - 1
SOU
24%
25%
51%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
CAM
3 - 2
SOU
55%
22%
23%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |