Vasco da Gama vs Náutico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.9%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
8.5%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
OES
1 - 1
VAS
16%
25%
59%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 1
VAS
24%
27%
49%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
VAS
2 - 0
LUV
76%
17%
8%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
AMF
2 - 3
VAS
28%
27%
46%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
ABC
2 - 1
VAS
22%
24%
55%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
NAU
1 - 2
JEC
34%
28%
39%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
NAU
2 - 1
CEA
25%
27%
48%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 1
NAU
28%
27%
46%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
NAU
0 - 0
BRA
40%
27%
33%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
PPE
2 - 0
NAU
60%
24%
16%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |