Vasco da Gama vs Macaé Esporte analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
8.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
TIG
1 - 1
VAS
9%
19%
72%
|
79 | 44 | 35 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2015 |
VAS
2 - 0
MAD
80%
15%
5%
|
79 | 55 | 24 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
CAB
0 - 2
VAS
14%
21%
65%
|
79 | 51 | 28 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
AVA
1 - 0
VAS
26%
28%
47%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
VAS
1 - 1
ICA
77%
17%
7%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Macaé Esporte
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
MAC
2 - 1
NOV
61%
22%
17%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2015 |
FRI
1 - 1
MAC
38%
25%
37%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 1
FLA
13%
21%
67%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
PAY
3 - 3
MAC
56%
24%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
MAC
1 - 1
PAY
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |