Vasco da Gama vs Luverdense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
16.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
11.1%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
BRA
2 - 1
VAS
16%
26%
58%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2016 |
VAS
0 - 0
AVA
65%
22%
13%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
PAR
0 - 1
VAS
16%
26%
58%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
VAS
1 - 2
CRB
68%
21%
12%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
VAS
1 - 0
LON
69%
21%
11%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2016 |
LUV
2 - 1
CRI
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2016 |
OES
1 - 1
LUV
35%
30%
35%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
LUV
2 - 1
NAU
40%
28%
33%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
LON
1 - 1
LUV
43%
30%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
SAM
2 - 0
LUV
40%
29%
31%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |