Vasco da Gama vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
51.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
FLU
0 - 1
VAS
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
BAH
3 - 0
VAS
42%
26%
31%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2017 |
VAS
1 - 1
PAL
24%
25%
52%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2017 |
PPE
0 - 0
VAS
53%
25%
23%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2017 |
VAS
0 - 3
CRZ
31%
28%
42%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
GRE
5 - 0
SPO
65%
21%
14%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2017 |
CRZ
2 - 0
GRE
43%
26%
31%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2017 |
CRZ
1 - 0
GRE
42%
26%
32%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
GRE
0 - 0
ATP
69%
20%
11%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 0
CRZ
53%
25%
22%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |