Copa do Brasil . 1/16
Global 3-3
Vasco da Gama vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
37.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
VAS
2 - 1
VIT
60%
23%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ATP
1 - 0
VAS
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 0
VAS
65%
20%
15%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
VAS
0 - 4
CRI
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
FLU
2 - 1
VAS
62%
21%
17%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2024 |
BOC
1 - 1
FOR
29%
27%
43%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 1
BOT
50%
25%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2024 |
NAC
4 - 1
FOR
23%
25%
53%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
COR
0 - 0
FOR
47%
26%
28%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 0
VAS
65%
20%
15%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |