Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
30.9%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
VAS
4 - 3
BOA
82%
14%
5%
|
79 | 53 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
VAS
2 - 1
MAC
84%
13%
4%
|
79 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
POR
1 - 0
VAS
8%
18%
74%
|
80 | 51 | 29 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
JWI
4 - 0
VAS
36%
26%
38%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
VAS
4 - 0
JWI
56%
24%
21%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
FLU
2 - 1
VOL
86%
11%
3%
|
80 | 53 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
FLU
1 - 2
AVA
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
FLU
4 - 0
FLA
36%
27%
38%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
BAN
0 - 4
FLU
6%
15%
79%
|
79 | 49 | 30 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2018 |
FLU
5 - 0
SAL
80%
15%
6%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |