Vasco da Gama vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
26.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
VAS
4 - 0
DUQ
84%
12%
4%
|
80 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
FLU
1 - 1
VAS
55%
23%
22%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
VAS
1 - 1
BON
87%
10%
3%
|
80 | 47 | 33 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
VAS
2 - 0
RES
84%
12%
4%
|
80 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
MAD
1 - 3
VAS
16%
21%
63%
|
80 | 58 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
FLU
3 - 1
VOL
83%
13%
4%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2014 |
HOR
3 - 1
FLU
15%
22%
64%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
FLU
1 - 1
VAS
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
DUQ
2 - 2
FLU
14%
22%
64%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
FLU
5 - 1
FRI
83%
13%
4%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | 0 |