Vasco da Gama vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
18.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
RES
2 - 4
VAS
13%
20%
66%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
VAS
4 - 2
MAC
81%
13%
6%
|
84 | 61 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
BOA
0 - 3
VAS
15%
21%
64%
|
84 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2012 |
FLU
1 - 2
VAS
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
VAS
1 - 1
FLA
58%
23%
20%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
INT
0 - 2
FLA
11%
20%
70%
|
80 | 46 | 34 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
FLA
1 - 0
VOL
80%
15%
5%
|
80 | 54 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
FLA
2 - 2
BAT
83%
13%
4%
|
80 | 49 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
MAD
1 - 1
FLA
16%
22%
61%
|
80 | 57 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
FLA
2 - 0
QUI
81%
14%
5%
|
80 | 49 | 31 | 0 |