Vasco da Gama vs Flamengo analysis

Vasco da Gama Flamengo
81 ELO 85
14.5% Tilt 14.2%
146º General ELO ranking 127º
22º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
43.3%
Vasco da Gama
25.3%
Draw
31.4%
Flamengo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
Vasco da Gama
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
31.4%
Win probability
Flamengo
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vasco da Gama
-17%
+29%
Flamengo

ELO progression

Vasco da Gama
Flamengo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Mar. 2009
BOA
Boavista SC
0 - 1
Vasco da Gama
VAS
14%
19%
67%
80 57 23 0
12 Mar. 2009
BOT
Botafogo
1 - 4
Vasco da Gama
VAS
57%
22%
21%
80 84 4 0
08 Mar. 2009
VAS
Vasco da Gama
3 - 0
Friburguense
FRI
87%
10%
3%
80 52 28 0
18 Feb. 2009
FLA
Flamengo PI
1 - 4
Vasco da Gama
VAS
8%
16%
77%
80 33 47 0
15 Feb. 2009
MAD
Madureira RJ
0 - 3
Vasco da Gama
VAS
9%
17%
74%
79 50 29 +1

Matches

Flamengo
Flamengo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Mar. 2009
FLA
Flamengo
1 - 1
Tigres do Brasil
TIG
90%
8%
2%
85 47 38 0
12 Mar. 2009
DUQ
Duque de Caxias
2 - 4
Flamengo
FLA
7%
16%
76%
85 49 36 0
07 Mar. 2009
FLA
Flamengo
3 - 1
Cabofriense
CAB
86%
11%
4%
85 57 28 0
05 Mar. 2009
IVI
Ivinhema
0 - 5
Flamengo
FLA
10%
18%
72%
85 54 31 0
21 Feb. 2009
FLA
Flamengo
1 - 3
Resende
RES
93%
5%
2%
85 55 30 0