Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 6-2
Vasco da Gama vs Flamengo PI analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.5%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1.4%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.6%
4-0
11.5%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
+4
13.8%
3-0
16.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.2%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.4%
9.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
9.1%
2.4%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.1%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1995 |
FLA
1 - 2
VAS
12%
23%
66%
|
79 | 56 | 23 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1994 |
VAS
1 - 0
PAR
68%
20%
12%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1994 |
VAS
0 - 0
BAH
62%
23%
15%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1994 |
BOT
0 - 0
VAS
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1994 |
PAL
3 - 0
VAS
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Flamengo PI
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 1995 |
FLA
1 - 2
VAS
12%
23%
66%
|
56 | 79 | 23 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1985 |
CEA
2 - 1
FLA
78%
15%
7%
|
56 | 77 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1985 |
ABC
1 - 2
FLA
71%
19%
10%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1985 |
PAY
2 - 0
FLA
70%
19%
10%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1985 |
NAC
3 - 1
FLA
67%
21%
12%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |