Vasco da Gama vs Independiente del Valle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
15.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
VAS
1 - 1
GRE
45%
26%
29%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2025 |
IVT
4 - 0
VAS
30%
25%
45%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
VAS
0 - 2
BOT
50%
26%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
SAO
1 - 3
VAS
43%
26%
31%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
VAS
0 - 2
BRA
46%
26%
29%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente del Valle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
IVT
2 - 1
AUC
46%
27%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2025 |
IVT
4 - 0
VAS
30%
25%
45%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
MAC
1 - 2
IVT
39%
29%
33%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
IVT
1 - 1
BSC
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2025 |
UCE
0 - 3
IVT
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |