Vasco da Gama vs CSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.6%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
11%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
SCI
1 - 1
VAS
45%
26%
30%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2025 |
VAS
1 - 1
IVT
64%
21%
15%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
VAS
1 - 1
GRE
45%
26%
29%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2025 |
IVT
4 - 0
VAS
30%
25%
45%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2025 |
VAS
0 - 2
BOT
50%
26%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2025 |
LON
3 - 1
CSA
57%
25%
18%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2025 |
CSA
1 - 1
FFL
60%
24%
16%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2025 |
RFC
0 - 0
CSA
31%
31%
39%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2025 |
CSA
2 - 1
FER
68%
19%
13%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2025 |
CSA
2 - 3
CAX
58%
25%
17%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | -1 |