Vasco da Gama vs CRB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
15%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
15.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
10.3%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
SAM
0 - 4
VAS
18%
27%
55%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
CRB
0 - 1
VAS
20%
24%
56%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
VAS
1 - 1
BOT
50%
27%
23%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
BOT
0 - 1
VAS
40%
27%
33%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
VAS
2 - 1
REM
78%
16%
6%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
LON
0 - 1
CRB
34%
29%
37%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
CRB
0 - 1
VAS
20%
24%
56%
|
63 | 81 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
CSA
0 - 1
CRB
31%
26%
44%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
CRB
2 - 0
CSA
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
COR
1 - 0
CRB
21%
25%
54%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | -1 |