Vasco da Gama vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
28.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 1
VAS
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
COR
1 - 0
VAS
68%
21%
12%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
VAS
1 - 0
GRE
23%
26%
51%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
FLU
0 - 1
VAS
62%
21%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
BAH
3 - 0
VAS
42%
26%
31%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 0
PPE
42%
27%
31%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2017 |
FLA
4 - 0
CHA
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
GRE
0 - 1
CHA
67%
21%
13%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2017 |
CHA
0 - 0
FLA
31%
26%
43%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 2
CRZ
29%
27%
45%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |