Vasco da Gama vs Botafogo analysis

Vasco da Gama Botafogo
79 ELO 82
-2.6% Tilt -2.5%
146º General ELO ranking 162º
22º Country ELO ranking 25º
ELO win probability
47.9%
Vasco da Gama
27.4%
Draw
24.7%
Botafogo

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
Vasco da Gama
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
24.7%
Win probability
Botafogo
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Vasco da Gama
-13%
+9%
Botafogo

ELO progression

Vasco da Gama
Botafogo
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Vasco da Gama
Vasco da Gama
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Mar. 2018
BOT
Botafogo
2 - 3
Vasco da Gama
VAS
53%
25%
22%
79 82 3 0
14 Mar. 2018
VAS
Vasco da Gama
0 - 1
Univ de Chile
UCH
45%
26%
29%
79 78 1 0
10 Mar. 2018
MAD
Madureira RJ
1 - 3
Vasco da Gama
VAS
7%
17%
76%
79 47 32 0
07 Mar. 2018
VAS
Vasco da Gama
0 - 0
Fluminense
FLU
43%
26%
31%
79 80 1 0
04 Mar. 2018
VAS
Vasco da Gama
4 - 3
Boavista SC
BOA
82%
14%
5%
79 53 26 0

Matches

Botafogo
Botafogo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Mar. 2018
BOT
Botafogo
2 - 3
Vasco da Gama
VAS
53%
25%
22%
82 79 3 0
11 Mar. 2018
VOL
Volta Redonda
1 - 1
Botafogo
BOT
12%
23%
66%
82 52 30 0
07 Mar. 2018
BOT
Botafogo
1 - 0
Bangu
BAN
86%
11%
3%
82 49 33 0
03 Mar. 2018
FLA
Flamengo
1 - 0
Botafogo
BOT
64%
22%
14%
82 85 3 0
25 Feb. 2018
BOT
Botafogo
1 - 0
Cabofriense
CAB
83%
13%
4%
82 52 30 0