Vasco da Gama vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
30.9%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 0
VAS
51%
23%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
MAC
2 - 2
VAS
9%
17%
74%
|
78 | 49 | 29 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
VAS
1 - 1
VIT
50%
26%
25%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 2
VAS
22%
24%
54%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 0
VAS
63%
22%
16%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
BOT
2 - 1
EST
43%
27%
30%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
BOT
1 - 0
VOL
82%
14%
4%
|
81 | 52 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2017 |
OLI
1 - 0
BOT
55%
24%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
BOA
2 - 3
BOT
8%
20%
72%
|
81 | 47 | 34 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
BOT
1 - 0
OLI
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |