Vasco da Gama vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.7%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
34.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
AVA
1 - 2
VAS
32%
28%
40%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
VAS
1 - 1
CHA
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 1
VAS
45%
26%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
COR
1 - 0
VAS
68%
21%
12%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
VAS
1 - 0
GRE
23%
26%
51%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2017 |
BOT
2 - 1
CHA
60%
23%
17%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
BOT
2 - 3
VIT
61%
23%
17%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
COT
2 - 3
BOT
33%
30%
37%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2017 |
GRE
1 - 0
BOT
57%
25%
18%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
BOT
2 - 0
SAN
35%
27%
38%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | +1 |